← All work
Research
Where the Gain Goes
A free 80-page research report on why AI productivity gains show up per developer and thin out before they reach production.
The AI productivity gain is real. It is not reaching main.
A free research report, edition 1.0, built on 26 sources with every number checked against its origin. Per developer, the gain is real and larger than the sceptical reading allowed; measured by what reaches production, it thins out.
The argument, and what the report does to make its own claims checkable, is in the article The AI productivity gain is real. It is not reaching main.
What is published
- The report: the six findings, and the five predictions with the condition that would prove each one wrong.
- The PDF: the full 80 pages.
- The evidence ledger: every source with its locator, method, population, tier, limitation, commercial interest, and the verbatim sentence supporting the claim.
- The practitioner survey: eight anonymous questions testing the report’s own forecasts.
- Live results: public while the survey is open.
- Errata: append-only, with corrections published with credit.
Licensed CC BY 4.0.